Saturday, January 8, 2022

Could Denver's Defense Doom Chiefs' Chance to Reclaim #1 Seed?

Broncos fans enjoyed flashes of hope last November when Denver beat the Dallas Cowboys and Los Angeles Chargers. Aside from these wins, Denver has only claimed victory over teams who currently have losing records. The Kansas City Chiefs need the victory today to put pressure on the Tennessee Titans, who would hand the #1 seed back to the Chiefs if KC handles their business today and Tennessee is toppled by the mighty Houston Texans tomorrow. It should surprise no one to see oddsmakers predicting both games to be decided by ten or more points.

Perhaps the biggest potential for surprise in either game, with respect to Dangerous Davis Mills in Houston, comes from the Denver defense. The Broncos ranks among the league's top ten in most major defensive statistics, making them a good test for a Chiefs offense that experienced a shaky middle of the season. Despite failing to score more than 20 in any game from Week 5 to Week 9, the Chiefs currently sit in the top four league-wide in total yards, passing yards and points per game. Scoring 31 or more in their last four games made that possible. 31 points, unfortunately, wasn't enough to make achieving victory possible in Cincy last week.

Rookie legend-in-the-making Ja'Marr Chase had the greatest regular season performance in wide receiver history for the Cincinnati Bengals last week. All that production was just enough to sneak past Kansas City with a field goal as time expired. Unless some Bronco can also go off for 266 receiving yards, I like the Chiefs' odds this afternoon. The two-digit spread for this game makes sense when you compare the aforementioned success of Kansas City's offense with the fact that Denver has scored 13 points or fewer in their last three games. I'm predicting a 27-17 victory for the Chiefs.

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