Clark
Hunt, Andy Reid and John Dorsey, who will hitherto be referred to as
Clark and Company, agreed to use the Chief's franchise tag promptly this year.
In order to solidify the offensive line, they applied it to Pro Bowl
tackle, Branden Albert. Was this the right decision? Could more be
done with the tag? How does this influence draft day? And, first off,
does having a great offensive line really matter in this era of
football? Let's (try to) find out.
The
value of an elite offensive line is highly debatable these days. With
agile QBs taking over the league, the effect of an unstoppable O-Line
may be more diminished than ever before. In fact, according to
Advanced NFL Stats, 3 teams made the playoffs with top-ten lines last year, but
3 teams with offensive lines ranking in the bottom-ten also made the
playoffs, including the Super Bowl Champion Ravens.
For
the record, two of the teams that made the playoffs with bad
offensive lines (Seattle and Washington) are led by two of the most
athletic quarterbacks ever to play the position. However, Baltimore's
line ranked second to last in the league, behind only Pittsburgh,
and they won the Lombardi trophy with a kinda-sorta-mobile QB in Joey
Flacco. I mention this because Alex Smith is considered by most to be
more mobile than Flacco. It's also worth noting that the Ravens
passed the ball on 56% of there snaps, whereas both the Redskins and
Seahawks threw less than 47% of the time. Even with an incompetent
passing game and an offense built around Jamaal Charles, the Chiefs
passed on 49% of their offensive possessions last year. With an
offensive makeover performed by a pass-friendly veteran coach, the
2013 Chiefs should have a similar passing percentage with similar QB
mobility as the 2012 Champion Ravens.
Does
this mean KC should avoid using their resources to upgrade the
offensive line? No- not when you look at the team's other choices for
the franchise tag. The list of other unrestricted free agents is
highlighted by Peyton Hillis, Steve Breaston and Matt Cassel. While
it would be advantageous to get more value out of your franchise tag
than re-hiring an offensive lineman, the Chiefs truly had nothing
better to do with it. Would you rather hold onto Breaston for $10.5
million? How about retaining Andy Studebaker for $9.6 million? No
way. So KC holds onto its most valuable UFA, he signs the contract
and the deal is done.....which would all just be grand, if it
actually meant that Albert would be playing here in 2013.
Unfortunately, this is not the end of the story.
Albert
now stands as a holdout. He is currently the only Chief on the roster
not attending the first phase of Andy Reid's new voluntary off-season
program. Instead, he waits for KC to offer him a long-term contract,
or find a worthwhile deal with another team to
send Albert elsewhere. The 28 year old lineman is telling the press
he wants a longer commitment before showing up to camp. On NFL AM,
Albert said "Until I know my situation with certainty I'm going
to stay away." He went on to tell the media that he's unsure of
what he'll do when the mandatory program begins.
The
Chiefs have from now until then (with "Phase Three"
workouts beginning May 14) to either come to terms with their veteran
lineman or find an suitable trade offer. It's at that point when
things start looking ugly and the team has the right to start fining
Albert for every day he misses. On March 22nd, ESPN's Adam
Schefter tweeted that KC was “seeking
a second-round pick in this year's draft as well as another pick in
2014 in a trade for franchise OT Branden Albert.”
Judging from the rumors that are swirling around at this point, Miami
seems to be the most viable, if not the only, team interested in that
deal. Clark and Company have moved swiftly thus far with major,
team-changing decisions, so for all we know, a deal could be made
tomorrow. However, the upcoming draft, and the Chiefs' position
therein, play a key role in determining Albert's worth to the
organization.
If
the team trades Albert, it would be almost obvious to go with a
highly-regarded lineman like Luke Joeckel or Eric Fisher with the
first pick, especially since KC has already parted ways with another
seasoned lineman in Eric Winston. But, the Chiefs have until
prime-time on April 25th to probe and evaluate and analyze
and make damn sure they don't use the #1 overall pick on an overrated
offensive lineman. Maybe they fall in love with Fisher or Joeckel.
Maybe they retain Albert and decide to upgrade defensively through
the draft, instead. Maybe they decide to trade down for more value.
There is plenty of time left until draft day to evaluate the numerous
options, and it would seem wise to use however much is necessary to
get the best deal possible. They would gladly take the previously
mentioned original asking price for Albert if someone offered, but it
sounds like even Miami would try their best to talk the Chiefs down
from that original ask.
Whichever
way the Branden Albert situation gets sorted out will define KC's
role in the upcoming draft. With the QB situation seemingly
solidified and many flawed positions filled with talent from free
agency, this signing (or lack thereof) could be the final deciding
factor for how KC uses that first overall pick. Things will be much
more clear once we know whether or not the Chiefs will need to
upgrade the O-Line- to the point where KC's choice could be made very
simple by the situation at hand. RGR will be here to report any news
on the matter, so we can then make the next step in pondering our
draft day fantasies. Stay tuned for any major breaking news, and check in
later this week for more analysis of this year's off-season signings.
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