Another major moment in the offseason
that often goes unmentioned is the release of the new schedule.
Sports media gets clogged with Draft Day talk and free agency moves
at this time of year. People make plans to watch with friends or
family. Folks gather together in crowded bars, watching Draft Day
pregame analysis and enjoying Draft Day drink specials. Sadly, no
corks were popped for the important announcement of which teams stand
in the way of your favorite club's ascension to greatness. Now that
fans know who and when they play, the hypothesizing and the
fantasizing become all-the-more concrete. Even with the regular
season being over four months away, that's still something to
appreciate. So, let's run through Kansas City's 2013 schedule. With
free agent acquisitions to look at and Draft Day looming near, there
are plenty of things to talk about aside from the new schedule, but
I'm doing it anyway. So, we'll take it one month at a time, and that
means today we'll be looking forward to September.
Before we get started, just let it be
known that I reserve the right to change any game predictions I make
here, right up until the moment that game begins. Lots of things can
happen, and we've got an entire draft yet to come- as if ESPN could
possibly let you forget. I promise I'm not especially flip-floppy. I
just want to be thorough.
Week 1- Chiefs at Jaguars, September
8th
The season starts with a real bang as
the league's two worst teams clash in Jacksonville. Last year's Jags
offense ranks above only the Cardinals and the last-place Chiefs in
points scored. With MJD starting only 5 games, their rushing offense
was the 3rd worst league-wide. To top it all off, they
couldn't stop anyone on defense, either. Jacksonville allowed the 3rd
most yards and the 3rd most points in 2012. The only
disparaging thing about those statistics are just how similar they
are to the Chiefs last season. However, the changes that the Jaguars
made do not serve the optimist as well as the changes made in Kansas
City. It's reasonable to assume that the Reid-Dorsey rebuilding
process will turn out better than.... whatever they're doing down
there in Jacksonville. They could have an A+ draft and still be worse
on paper than Kansas City is right now.
Prediction: The Chiefs start the season
with a comfortable win and a lot of momentum to bring back to
Arrowhead.
Week 2- Chiefs vs. Cowboys, September
15th
This year's home opener should be
intriguing and difficult. This is one of many games that will be much
easier to decide after the draft. If the Chiefs supplement the
secondary with a 2nd or 3rd round pick that
makes an immediate impact, I may be predicting a win here in the
future. Otherwise, it could be too tough to stop last year's 3rd
best passing offense. Andy has plenty of experience coaching against
Dallas, but has always struggled to stop Romo and Company from
advancing the ball through the air at their leisure.
Prediction: Jamaal should have a good
enough outing to slow things down and keep scoring lower than
expected. The game will be decided by a key turnover, and
unfortunately, it will probably come from a member of Dallas'
talented secondary. The Chiefs lose, and the fans have visions in
their sleep of all the interceptions from years past. Many awaken in
the dead of night, drenched in a cold sweat, rubbing their eyes
furiously, trying in vain to erase the blurry images of Steve Bono
and Matt Cassel still lingering in their tortured minds. I shudder at
the thought.
Week 3- Chiefs at Eagles, September
19th
This should be interesting. Andy Reid
takes his new team to his old home as the Chiefs take on
Philadelphia. It's hard to say right now what Chip Kelly will make of
the pieces left over from Andy's era, but there is still plenty of
talent in Philly right now. Assuming Vick starts next year, the
new-look Eagles could be the NFL's equivalent of a Run and Gun
offense. A dynamic offense that stretches the field vertically and
challenges the edges with rushing speed isn't too hard to imagine.
That all sounds great to a starving Eagles fan-base- that is, until
their star QB gets hurt, again, and leaves their team to flounder in
mediocrity, again.
Prediction: If Vick starts, the Eagles
will get off to an early lead. Then, he'll get hurt, and when Nick
Foles comes in to make Philly's offense predictable again, KC turns
things around for an exciting comeback win on the road. If Vick
doesn't start, said predictability from the Eagles offense should
allow the Chiefs to outscore Philly for a slightly more comfortable
victory.
Week 4- Chiefs vs. Giants, September
29th
The Giants come into town this fall
with a grudge and a lot of previous success. Even in a down year, New
York's offense ranked 6th in 2012. The passing and rushing
game ranked 12th and 13th respectively, and
improving on those stats may prove difficult this year. Without Ahmad
Bradshaw, or a clear answer at tight end, New York has a lot of work
to do to improve through the draft and free agency. Even with all the
changes on the offensive side of the ball, the defense was clearly
what kept the G-Men out of the playoffs. They gave up the 5th
most yards through the air and the 8th most yards through
the ground last year. So, does this mean the newly revamped Chiefs
offense can edge out an important win against Eli and the Giants?
Prediction: No. It doesn't. The Giants'
front office has successfully retooled the team several times to get
them well-equipped for a playoff run. They could draft Eifert from
Notre Dame to give Eli another legitimate passing threat, or they
could improve their defense and return to their former days of
defensive dominance. Either way, the staff in New York will do enough
to make the team successful, and Eli will have enough firepower to
abuse a KC secondary that will inevitably go through some growing
pains.
So, according to these very flimsy
predictions, the Chiefs end the month with a .500 record, but are
winless at Arrowhead. Hopefully, those losing predictions were
hogwash, because losing those home games will do little to improve
the formerly intimidating crowd factor. On-again, off-again fans of
KC football won't see the off-the-field moves that put this team in a
great position to be a contender for years to come. They'll see two
losses at home, and a lot of sad fans. Like I said, I hope I'm wrong
and Arrowhead has every reason to explode this September. Sadly, two
of the toughest games on the league's 5th-easiest schedule are
difficult, early games at home.
Thankfully, winning in October should
be much more feasible. With games against the Titans, Raiders and
Browns, KC should be turning things around before All Hallow's Eve.
Next week, we'll break down all the October match-ups. Stay tuned for
more free agent analysis and draft day speculation.
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