Sunday, December 12, 2021

Revenge for Raiders in Week 14?

The Las Vegas Raiders would love nothing more than to upset the Kansas City Chiefs this week at Arrowhead. Vegas started their season with a three-game winning streak, but they've lost four of their last five while dealing with problems on and off the field. The organization is reportedly high on interim head coach Rich Bisaccia, but under his leadership, both the New York Giants and Washington Football Team already defeated the Raiders. Is there any way this downtrodden team can upset the resurgent Chiefs today?

Kansas City leaves themselves susceptible to losing to inferior teams when they turn the ball over. That's not rocket science, but it's still a game-changer worth noting. If the Raiders were taking the ball away from their opponents at a significant rate, that would fuel "upset alert" takes from football fans everywhere. Thankfully for Chiefs Kingdom, this is not the case. Vegas ranks 23rd league-wide with 13 total takeaways, while the Chiefs' 18 takeaways makes them 11th.

Could the Chiefs' mediocre run defense get in the way of their continued success over the Vegas Raiders? Despite huge improvement from the KC defense as a whole, they still have allowed at least five yards per carry to their last two opponents. This kept both games closer than fans in KC would've liked, but the Chiefs finished both days with a victory. The Raiders have only averaged more than 4.8 yards per carry one time this season - against the 4-8 New York Giants. Only the New York Jets, Miami Dolphins and Houston Texans average fewer rushing yards per game than the Raiders.

There is no other facet of either team that makes me scared of Vegas today. An unimpressive receiver core mixed with an unimpressive rushing offense plus a Darren Waller injury is not the right recipe for success against this much-improved KC defense. Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid batter Vegas' secondary with great consistency, and there's no evidence saying that should change today. I'm predicting a 27-16 victory for Kansas City, which still leaves the Raiders with only three victories over the Chiefs in the 18 games they've played since the start of the 2013 season.

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