I've predicted some comfy wins for KC at times this year when the Chiefs ended up losing or doing everything but. Today I'm not alone in thinking our guys can handle the winless New York Jets. I can break down a dozen reasons why, but I'd rather make it simple, because their woes aren't exactly hard to pinpoint right now.
Though the Jets' defense isn't a disaster, that offense is offensive. Sam Darnold has so far led his team to the lowest averages in the league for passing yards, total yards and points. For comparison's sake, remember that when we rank all 32 teams by their average points total per game, the margin between one spot and the next is currently no more than two and a half points - until you get to last place. The Jets' average is 5.3 points lower than the Giants' average of 17.4. In fact, you can add together the average score for both New York teams and still not reach Kansas City's average of 31.1 points per game.
That indicates impressive output for the Chiefs, but it still barely gets them into the top five league-wide. The New York Jets would need double their current scoring output to even reach the middle of the pack among NFL offenses. Unless Sam Darnold and his crew can triple their efficiency today, an average performance from the Chiefs will be enough to earn KC another W.
Darnold is key when it comes to why New York simply cannot win. Judging by either Adjusted QBR or Quarterback Rating, he's one of the two worst QB's in football today. The guy the Chiefs beat last week, youngster Drew Lock in Denver, is the only guy with a lower completion percentage or a lower yardage average than Darnold. Maybe Adam Gase is the problem. He's definitely a problem. Either way, nothing less than a gun could convince me to put money on the Jets today.
I don't even think it will be exciting, and if I'm wrong, there will be reason for concern in Chiefs Kingdom. Today should be stress-free for KC, if not boring. Victory for our Chiefs is clearly expected, and anything resembling a close game will be seen as a sign of weakness, so it's sort of a lose-lose viewing experience for Chiefs fans. The Jets somehow became so lousy that they make football less fun to watch.
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