Our Kansas City Chiefs will be fighting to keep their hopes of a playoff bye week healthy tonight in Green Bay. The 5-6 Packers will be fighting to keep all their playoff hopes alive. Perhaps an early 14-point deficit to the lowly Raiders was the "come to Jesus" moment the Chiefs offense needed. Perhaps it was Rashee Rice's breakout performance that made KC's offense look legit again. We'll see today if that offense can keep it going against a Green Bay defense that is league-average in practically every relevant statistic.
The Packers offense is also average in practically every way, so predicting how much KC must score in order to overcome the Packers feels difficult. Green Bay's average of 21 points scored per game ranks 18th league-wide. Their passing yards per game rank 17th. Their total yards per game rank 19th. Jordan Love, whose QBR ranks 20th, is even more unpredictable than KC's offense.
Out of Love's 11 games played this season, he has finished five games with a QBR above 74 and five games with a QBR under 43. He just cooked the Detroit Lions on Thanksgiving, yet the Packers have lost to unimpressive opponents like the Raiders and Falcons. Love threw five touchdowns and no picks over his last two games. Maybe that's his turning point, or maybe this studly Chiefs defense will hand him a painful reality check. I'm predicting the latter.
KC has handled tougher opponents this season, and Love's inconsistency. The Packers also have a final injury report that takes longer to read than this article. On top of Aaron Jones missing another week, star cornerback Jaire Alexander and both of Green Bay's first-string safeties are listed as questionable. Even if they all play, it seems inevitable that those injuries will hamper that defense's ability to stop a (hopefully) resurgent Chiefs offense. I'll predict a relatively stress-free 31-20 victory for Kansas City.
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